中国汽车产业低碳化评价指标体系研究
Research on Evaluation Index System for Low-carbon
Development of China’s Automobile Industry
赵福全１， ２，刘斐齐１， ２，刘宗巍１， ２，郝瀚１， ２
（1. 清华大学汽车产业与技术战略研究院，北京 100084；2. 清华大学汽车安全与节能国家重点实验室，北京 100084）Zhao Fuquan 1, 2, Liu Feiqi 1, 2, Liu Zongwei 1, 2, Hao Han 1, 2
(1. Tsinghua Automotive Strategy Research Institute, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, China; 2. State Key Laboratory of
Automotive Safety and Energy, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, China)
摘要：能源安全与气候问题日益成为各个国家关注的焦点，中国作为大国有责任承担起节能减排的义务。汽车行业作为能耗和排放大户，更面临着严峻的减排挑战，低碳化进程刻不容缓。作为新兴的汽车
大国，中国汽车产业总量扩张的趋势势不可挡，车用能源结构转型也迫在眉睫，有效寻我国与其他汽车强国在低碳化发展方面的差距，明确关键影响因素，是我国汽车产业未来低碳化发展的关键。本文采用层次分析法，剖析了汽车产业低碳化发展的影响因素，并进行了国际化对比。通过寻我国与其他汽车强国在低碳化发展方面存在的差距，可为我国未来汽车产业低碳化发展提供参考。
关键词：汽车产业；低碳化发展；评价指标
中图分类号：F416.47 文献标识码：A
Abstract: Energy security and climate have become issues of increasing importance globally. China, as a major political and econom-ic power, has a responsibility toward energy conservation and emission reduction. The automobile industry is facing severe emission reduction challenges in following the low carbon process. The trend of the total expansion of China’s automobile industry is irresist-ible and transformation of the vehicle energy structure is also imminent. An initiative to effectively determine the gap between China and other auto powers in low-carbon development and remove the key influence factors will be essential toward realizing low-carbon development of China’s automobile industry in the future. This study uses an analytic hierarchy process to analyze the factors that in -fluence China’s low-carbon development in the automobile industry and presents
comparisons with other countries. This will provide a reference for the low-carbon development of the future automobile industry in China.
Keywords: automobile industry; low-carbon development; evaluation index system
一、前言
能源安全与温室气体排放逐渐成为全人类面临的共同问题，发展低碳经济已经是世界各国未来发展的必然选择。2015年《巴黎协定》中各国已经达成协议——较工业化前水平，将全球平均升温控制收稿日期：2018-01-20；修回日期：2018-02-06汽车评价
通讯作者：郝瀚，清华大学，助理教授，研究方向为低碳交通系统分析；E-mail: hao@tsinghua.edu
资助项目：中国工程院咨询项目“中国汽车低碳化系统工程研究”(2016-XY-02)
本刊网址：insci
DOI 10.15302/J-SSCAE-2018.01.015
发布评论